Monday, March 19, 2012
Predictions for the 50k
As I mentioned in my long race recap, auto pause was on my watch so the Garmin data was much shorter.
I made up my plan for the race so my pacers knew when to arrive. I thought everything was fast estimates. Well it looks like it wasn't. I'm actually surprised the last lap was so slow because it didn't have a water stop at the end and only had the stop at the spigot and the stop at the water stop.
I find it a little bit insane how close my actual time was compared to my predicted time. I was actually faster in the earlier laps and slower in the later laps but it all evened out. I probably felt a lot worse near the end because I went so fast at the beginning though.
If I had done anything close to what any training plan suggested, perhaps I could have kept up the pace from laps 1, 2, and 3.
Have you ever tried to predict a race time? How close have you been? I think being 49 cents off in a race over 5 hours is pretty close. Closer than I could ever guess.